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Week 1 Fantasy Football DST Rankings

This page lists the top 30 fantasy team defenses for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season. Every entry shows projected fantasy points in the selected scoring format (PPR or standard), a Pepper Meter heat rating from Mild to Nuclear, and a short original explanation of the rank written in-house by Sally from our own projection, usage and injury-designation data. Rankings refresh every 30 minutes.

Data on this page is as of September 13, 2026 at 2:52 AM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.

Scoring format currently shown: PPRprojections

Week 1 Team defense (DST) rankings

Sorted by projected fantasy points for Week 1, 2026.

RankPlayerProjHeat
1Broncos D/ST DEN · DST7.73 of 5 peppers, Hot

Peppers & Picks ranks Broncos D/ST (DEN, DST) at DST1 for Week 1 with 7.7 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Broncos D/ST (DEN DST), our DST1 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.7 projected points with a hot Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 85% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. The math is unsexy and convincing: 7.7 points, 18% above what the position pays out on average. Hot heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

2Texans D/ST HOU · DST7.63 of 5 peppers, Hot

Peppers & Picks ranks Texans D/ST (HOU, DST) at DST2 for Week 1 with 7.6 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Texans D/ST (HOU DST), our DST2 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.6 projected points with a hot Pepper Meter rating. D/ST clears the DST bar by about 17%, which is why he sits this high on my board. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 82% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Sally keeps the Pepper Meter at Hot here because the ceiling is capped, not the role.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

3Steelers D/ST PIT · DST7.43 of 5 peppers, Hot

Peppers & Picks ranks Steelers D/ST (PIT, DST) at DST3 for Week 1 with 7.4 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Steelers D/ST (PIT DST), our DST3 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.4 projected points with a hot Pepper Meter rating. I have him at DST3 because the projection lands about 14% clear of what a typical DST banks in a week. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 92% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Sally keeps the Pepper Meter at Hot here because the ceiling is capped, not the role.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

4Rams D/ST LAR · DST7.32 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Rams D/ST (LAR, DST) at DST4 for Week 1 with 7.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Rams D/ST (LAR DST), our DST4 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.3 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 89% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. I have him at DST4 because the projection lands about 12% clear of what a typical DST banks in a week. Spicy heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

5Ravens D/ST BAL · DST7.12 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Ravens D/ST (BAL, DST) at DST5 for Week 1 with 7.1 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Ravens D/ST (BAL DST), our DST5 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.1 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 81% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. 7.1 projected points is roughly 9% more than the DST baseline, and that gap is the entire argument for the spot at DST5. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. Spicy on the Pepper Meter reflects a steady weekly floor rather than a boom week — that's still a start.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

6Seahawks D/ST SEA · DST72 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Seahawks D/ST (SEA, DST) at DST6 for Week 1 with 7 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Seahawks D/ST (SEA DST), our DST6 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 7.0 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 7 projected points is roughly 8% more than the DST baseline, and that gap is the entire argument for the spot at DST6. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 91% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Sally keeps the Pepper Meter at Spicy here because the ceiling is capped, not the role.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

7Eagles D/ST PHI · DST6.32 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Eagles D/ST (PHI, DST) at DST7 for Week 1 with 6.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Eagles D/ST (PHI DST), our DST7 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 6.3 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. He's still in 79% of lineups at 88% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. 6.3 points is roughly 3% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. Spicy heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

8Lions D/ST DET · DST6.32 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Lions D/ST (DET, DST) at DST8 for Week 1 with 6.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Lions D/ST (DET DST), our DST8 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 6.3 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. He's still in 65% of lineups at 73% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. 6.3 points is roughly 3% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. Spicy heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

9Browns D/ST CLE · DST6.12 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Browns D/ST (CLE, DST) at DST9 for Week 1 with 6.1 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Browns D/ST (CLE DST), our DST9 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 6.1 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's still in 46% of lineups at 54% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. He grades 6% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

10Patriots D/ST NE · DST62 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Patriots D/ST (NE, DST) at DST10 for Week 1 with 6 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Patriots D/ST (NE DST), our DST10 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 6.0 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's still in 52% of lineups at 66% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. The projection sits about 8% under what a startable DST returns, so I can't pretend the price tag matches the output. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

11Chiefs D/ST KC · DST5.92 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Chiefs D/ST (KC, DST) at DST11 for Week 1 with 5.9 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Chiefs D/ST (KC DST), our DST11 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.9 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He grades 9% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 35% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Spicy on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

12Chargers D/ST LAC · DST5.52 of 5 peppers, Spicy

Peppers & Picks ranks Chargers D/ST (LAC, DST) at DST12 for Week 1 with 5.5 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Chargers D/ST (LAC DST), our DST12 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.5 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. He's still in 55% of lineups at 60% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. 5.5 points is roughly 15% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. Sally keeps him at Spicy until the usage says otherwise.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

13Buccaneers D/ST TB · DST5.41 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Buccaneers D/ST (TB, DST) at DST13 for Week 1 with 5.4 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Buccaneers D/ST (TB DST), our DST13 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.4 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. The projection sits about 17% under what a startable DST returns, so I can't pretend the price tag matches the output. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 13% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

14Packers D/ST GB · DST5.31 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Packers D/ST (GB, DST) at DST14 for Week 1 with 5.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Packers D/ST (GB DST), our DST14 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.3 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 16% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. The projection sits about 18% under what a startable DST returns, so I can't pretend the price tag matches the output. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

15Vikings D/ST MIN · DST5.31 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Vikings D/ST (MIN, DST) at DST15 for Week 1 with 5.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Vikings D/ST (MIN DST), our DST15 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.3 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 13% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. He grades 18% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

16Saints D/ST NO · DST5.21 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Saints D/ST (NO, DST) at DST16 for Week 1 with 5.2 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Saints D/ST (NO DST), our DST16 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 5.2 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He grades 20% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 3% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

17Jets D/ST NYJ · DST4.81 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Jets D/ST (NYJ, DST) at DST17 for Week 1 with 4.8 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Jets D/ST (NYJ DST), our DST17 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.8 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He grades 26% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 5% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

1849ers D/ST SF · DST4.71 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks 49ers D/ST (SF, DST) at DST18 for Week 1 with 4.7 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks 49ers D/ST (SF DST), our DST18 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.7 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Only 7% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. He grades 28% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

19Giants D/ST NYG · DST4.71 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Giants D/ST (NYG, DST) at DST19 for Week 1 with 4.7 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Giants D/ST (NYG DST), our DST19 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.7 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 4.7 points is roughly 28% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. Only 2% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

20Jaguars D/ST JAX · DST4.51 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Jaguars D/ST (JAX, DST) at DST20 for Week 1 with 4.5 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Jaguars D/ST (JAX DST), our DST20 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.5 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. The projection sits about 31% under what a startable DST returns, so I can't pretend the price tag matches the output. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. He's still in 64% of lineups at 68% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

21Cowboys D/ST DAL · DST4.51 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Cowboys D/ST (DAL, DST) at DST21 for Week 1 with 4.5 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Cowboys D/ST (DAL DST), our DST21 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.5 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 4.5 points is roughly 31% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 8% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

22Colts D/ST IND · DST4.31 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Colts D/ST (IND, DST) at DST22 for Week 1 with 4.3 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Colts D/ST (IND DST), our DST22 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.3 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Nothing in the projection defends him — 34% below positional par is a bench line for me. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 1% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

23Bears D/ST CHI · DST4.21 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Bears D/ST (CHI, DST) at DST23 for Week 1 with 4.2 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Bears D/ST (CHI DST), our DST23 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.2 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 4.2 points is roughly 35% short of the DST baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 7% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

24Panthers D/ST CAR · DST4.21 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Panthers D/ST (CAR, DST) at DST24 for Week 1 with 4.2 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Panthers D/ST (CAR DST), our DST24 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.2 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Nothing in the projection defends him — 35% below positional par is a bench line for me. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

25Bengals D/ST CIN · DST4.11 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Bengals D/ST (CIN, DST) at DST25 for Week 1 with 4.1 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Bengals D/ST (CIN DST), our DST25 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 1% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Nothing in the projection defends him — 37% below positional par is a bench line for me. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

26Titans D/ST TEN · DST41 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Titans D/ST (TEN, DST) at DST26 for Week 1 with 4 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Titans D/ST (TEN DST), our DST26 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 4.0 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 10% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Nothing in the projection defends him — 38% below positional par is a bench line for me. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

27Commanders D/ST WSH · DST3.61 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Commanders D/ST (WSH, DST) at DST27 for Week 1 with 3.6 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Commanders D/ST (WSH DST), our DST27 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 3.6 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. 1% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. He grades 45% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

28Bills D/ST BUF · DST3.51 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Bills D/ST (BUF, DST) at DST28 for Week 1 with 3.5 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Bills D/ST (BUF DST), our DST28 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 3.5 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He grades 46% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 3% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

29Falcons D/ST ATL · DST3.41 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Falcons D/ST (ATL, DST) at DST29 for Week 1 with 3.4 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Falcons D/ST (ATL DST), our DST29 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 3.4 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Nothing in the projection defends him — 48% below positional par is a bench line for me. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. 1% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

30Raiders D/ST LV · DST3.11 of 5 peppers, Mild

Peppers & Picks ranks Raiders D/ST (LV, DST) at DST30 for Week 1 with 3.1 projected fantasy points.

Why?

Peppers & Picks ranks Raiders D/ST (LV DST), our DST30 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 3.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 2% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. He grades 52% below the average weekly DST number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Sally's original analysis from our own projection, usage and status data. Stats and injury designations as of Sep 13, 2:52 AM ET — statuses change fast, verify before kickoff.

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