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Trevor Lawrence fantasy outlook — Week 1

Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAX) is our QB12 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 17.6 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 8:25 PM ET.

Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 8:25 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.

Projection
17.6 pts
QB rank
#12
Rostered
88%
Started
46%
Matchup: byePepper Meter: 2 of 5 peppers, Spicy

What our analysts say

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Trevor Lawrence (JAX QB), our QB12 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 17.6 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 46% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. I have him at QB12 because the projection lands about 4% clear of what a typical QB banks in a week. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Spicy on the Pepper Meter reflects a steady weekly floor rather than a boom week — that's still a start.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Trevor Lawrence (JAX QB), our QB12 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 17.6 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 46% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. I have him at QB12 because the projection lands about 4% clear of what a typical QB banks in a week. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. Spicy on the Pepper Meter reflects a steady weekly floor rather than a boom week — that's still a start.

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