Patrick Mahomes fantasy outlook — Week 1
Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC) is our QB10 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 17.7 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET.
Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.
- Projection
- 17.7 pts
- QB rank
- #10
- Rostered
- 86%
- Started
- 18%
What our analysts say
Sally's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Patrick Mahomes (KC QB), our QB10 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 17.7 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 18% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. The math is unsexy and convincing: 17.7 points, 4% above what the position pays out on average. Spicy heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.
Tina's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Patrick Mahomes (KC QB), our QB10 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 17.7 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 18% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. The math is unsexy and convincing: 17.7 points, 4% above what the position pays out on average. Spicy heat, high rank: reliable points without the fireworks.