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Joe Burrow fantasy outlook — Week 1

Joe Burrow (QB, CIN) is our QB6 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 18.5 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 8:25 PM ET.

Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 8:25 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.

Projection
18.5 pts
QB rank
#6
Rostered
99%
Started
88%
Matchup: byePepper Meter: 2 of 5 peppers, Spicy

What our analysts say

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Joe Burrow (CIN QB), our QB6 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 18.5 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 88% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. 18.5 projected points is roughly 9% more than the QB baseline, and that gap is the entire argument for the spot at QB6. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. Spicy on the Pepper Meter reflects a steady weekly floor rather than a boom week — that's still a start.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Joe Burrow (CIN QB), our QB6 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 18.5 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. 88% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. 18.5 projected points is roughly 9% more than the QB baseline, and that gap is the entire argument for the spot at QB6. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. Spicy on the Pepper Meter reflects a steady weekly floor rather than a boom week — that's still a start.

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