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Week 8 · TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson Week 8 fantasy outlook: role, matchup and start/sit call

Our TE34 for Week 8 — 3.1 projected points vs ARI, rostered in 51% of leagues.

By Sally & Tina · Updated October 28, 2026 at 8:41 AM ET

Sit Jake Ferguson in Week 8 if you have a real alternative — 3.1 projected points lands 3.9 under the TE starter line.

Projection
3.1 pts
TE rank
#34
Matchup
vs ARI

Jake Ferguson's fantasy role in Week 8

Jake Ferguson goes into Week 8 of the 2026 season as a bench stash most leagues are holding for the DAL. He is rostered in 51% of leagues and actually started in 16% of them, and we rank him TE34 on our own weekly board at 3.1 projected points.

Interest is cooling — roster rates slipped roughly 2% in the last week, so he is getting cheaper to acquire if you believe in the role.

No injury designation to work around right now, which keeps his projection honest.

Week 8 matchup breakdown

The matchup: vs ARI. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 1 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.

Against a typical starting TE baseline of 7 points, his 3.1-point projection is 3.9 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.

How to play it

Sit Jake Ferguson in Week 8 if you have a real alternative — 3.1 projected points lands 3.9 under the TE starter line.

If you are deciding between him and another TE, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Jake Ferguson (DAL TE), our TE34 this week for Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season vs ARI, projecting 3.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Sally wants fireworks, and 3.9 points below a typical starter isn't fireworks. Roster share is bleeding 2.5% this week, which lines up with what the projection already told me. 16% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. 3.1 points is roughly 56% short of the TE baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Jake Ferguson (DAL TE), our TE34 this week for Week 8 of the 2026 NFL season vs ARI, projecting 3.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Tina calls it a floor problem: 3.9 points under the starter line is a lot of risk for a lineup spot. He grades 56% below the average weekly TE number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. ARI is the opponent, and that's the part of this I'm least worried about. Mild on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.