Geno Smith fantasy outlook — Week 1
Geno Smith (QB, NYJ) is our QB25 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 14.1 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM ET.
Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.
- Projection
- 14.1 pts
- QB rank
- #25
- Rostered
- 4%
- Started
- 0%
What our analysts say
Sally's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Geno Smith (NYJ QB), our QB25 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 14.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Only 4% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. 14.1 points is roughly 17% short of the QB baseline, and I rank on output, not name recognition. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.
Tina's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Geno Smith (NYJ QB), our QB25 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 14.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Only 4% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. 14.1 points is roughly 17% short of the QB baseline, and I honestly rank on output, not name recognition. No game on the schedule this week, so the only decision is who replaces him. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.