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Brian Thomas Jr. fantasy outlook — Week 1

Brian Thomas Jr. (WR, JAX) is our WR40 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 10.4 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET.

Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 9:02 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.

Projection
10.4 pts
WR rank
#40
Rostered
84%
Started
9%
Matchup: byePepper Meter: 2 of 5 peppers, Spicy

What our analysts say

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX WR), our WR40 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 10.4 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. I have him at WR40 because the projection lands about 4% clear of what a typical WR banks in a week. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 9% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Sally keeps the Pepper Meter at Spicy here because the ceiling is capped, not the role.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX WR), our WR40 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 10.4 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. I have him at WR40 because the projection lands about 4% clear of what a typical WR banks in a week. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 9% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Tina keeps the Pepper Meter at Spicy here because the ceiling is capped, not the role.

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