Baker Mayfield fantasy outlook — Week 1
Baker Mayfield (QB, TB) is our QB19 for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season, projected for 16.1 fantasy points with the team on bye. Data as of September 12, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET.
Data on this page is as of September 12, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET and refreshes automatically every 30 minutes.
- Projection
- 16.1 pts
- QB rank
- #19
- Rostered
- 60%
- Started
- 12%
What our analysts say
Sally's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Baker Mayfield (TB QB), our QB19 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 16.1 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He grades 5% below the average weekly QB number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 12% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Spicy on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.
Tina's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Baker Mayfield (TB QB), our QB19 this week for Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season against bye, projecting 16.1 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He grades 5% below the average weekly QB number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. He's without an opponent this week, which caps this at a roster-hold conversation. 12% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Spicy on the Pepper Meter is generous, honestly.