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Week 10 · RB · MIN

Aaron Jones Sr. Week 10 fantasy outlook: role, matchup and start/sit call

Our RB31 for Week 10 — 4.9 projected points at GB, rostered in 83% of leagues.

By Sally & Tina · Updated November 11, 2026 at 8:23 PM ET

Sit Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10 if you have a real alternative — 4.9 projected points lands 6.1 under the RB starter line.

Projection
4.9 pts
RB rank
#31
Matchup
at GB

Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy role in Week 10

Aaron Jones Sr. goes into Week 10 of the 2026 season as a bench stash most leagues are holding for the MIN. He is rostered in 83% of leagues and actually started in 25% of them, and we rank him RB31 on our own weekly board at 4.9 projected points.

Interest is cooling — roster rates slipped roughly 2% in the last week, so he is getting cheaper to acquire if you believe in the role.

No injury designation to work around right now, which keeps his projection honest.

Week 10 matchup breakdown

The matchup: at GB. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 1 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.

Against a typical starting RB baseline of 11 points, his 4.9-point projection is 6.1 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.

How to play it

Sit Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10 if you have a real alternative — 4.9 projected points lands 6.1 under the RB starter line.

If you are deciding between him and another RB, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN RB), our RB31 this week for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season at GB, projecting 4.9 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Sally wants fireworks, and 6.1 points below a typical starter isn't fireworks. Facing GB away from home, the script reads neutral to friendly, not scary. Roster share is bleeding 2.3% this week, which lines up with what the projection already told me. 25% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN RB), our RB31 this week for Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season at GB, projecting 4.9 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Tina calls it a floor problem: 6.1 points under the starter line is a lot of risk for a lineup spot. On the road against GB, I expect the game to stay competitive enough that his usage holds. He's being dropped at a 2.3% clip, and I don't think the market is wrong about it. 25% of managers already start him, and the depth-chart role behind that number looks stable. Tina keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.