Wil Lutz is a fair Week 2 play — our K21 at 7.2 projected points, right around the K starter line.
- Projection
- 7.2 pts
- K rank
- #21
- Matchup
- vs JAX
Wil Lutz's fantasy role in Week 2
Wil Lutz goes into Week 2 of the 2026 season as a deep-league K flyer for the DEN. He is rostered in 6% of leagues and actually started in 4% of them, and we rank him K21 on our own weekly board at 7.2 projected points.
Roster rates are steady week over week, so his role looks settled rather than in flux.
No injury designation to work around right now, which keeps his projection honest.
Week 2 matchup breakdown
The matchup: vs JAX. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 2 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.
Against a typical starting K baseline of 7.5 points, his 7.2-point projection is 0.3 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.
How to play it
Wil Lutz is a fair Week 2 play — our K21 at 7.2 projected points, right around the K starter line.
If you are deciding between him and another K, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.
Sally's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Wil Lutz (DEN K), our K21 this week for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season vs JAX, projecting 7.2 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. Only 6% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. He grades 4% below the average weekly K number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. JAX is the opponent, and that's the part of this I'm least worried about. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.
Tina's take
Peppers & Picks ranks Wil Lutz (DEN K), our K21 this week for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season vs JAX, projecting 7.2 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. Only 6% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. He grades 4% below the average weekly K number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. JAX is the opponent, and that's the part of this I'm least worried about. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.