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Week 3 · QB · SEA

Sam Darnold Week 3 fantasy outlook: role, matchup and start/sit call

Our QB22 for Week 3 — 13.1 projected points at WSH, rostered in 20% of leagues.

By Sally & Tina · Updated September 23, 2026 at 1:09 AM ET

Sit Sam Darnold in Week 3 if you have a real alternative — 13.1 projected points lands 3.9 under the QB starter line.

Projection
13.1 pts
QB rank
#22
Matchup
at WSH

Sam Darnold's fantasy role in Week 3

Sam Darnold goes into Week 3 of the 2026 season as a deep-league QB flyer for the SEA. He is rostered in 20% of leagues and actually started in 1% of them, and we rank him QB22 on our own weekly board at 13.1 projected points.

Roster rates are steady week over week, so his role looks settled rather than in flux.

Health matters here: he carries a QUESTIONABLE designation, so have a replacement ready until his status is resolved.

Week 3 matchup breakdown

The matchup: at WSH. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 1 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.

Against a typical starting QB baseline of 17 points, his 13.1-point projection is 3.9 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.

How to play it

Sit Sam Darnold in Week 3 if you have a real alternative — 13.1 projected points lands 3.9 under the QB starter line.

If you are deciding between him and another QB, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Sam Darnold (SEA QB), our QB22 this week for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season at WSH, projecting 13.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Facing WSH away from home, the script reads neutral to friendly, not scary. Only 20% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Fair warning: he carries a questionable tag as of the timestamp below, so re-check before kickoff. Sally keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Sam Darnold (SEA QB), our QB22 this week for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season at WSH, projecting 13.1 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Facing WSH away from home, the script reads neutral to friendly, not scary. Only 20% of leagues roster him, so this is cheap production before the price goes up. Fair warning: he carries a questionable tag as of the timestamp below, so re-check before kickoff. Tina keeps him at Mild until the usage says otherwise.