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Week 3 · TE · BUF

Dawson Knox Week 3 fantasy outlook: role, matchup and start/sit call

Our TE35 for Week 3 — 3.5 projected points vs LAC, rostered in 1% of leagues.

By Sally & Tina · Updated September 23, 2026 at 1:09 AM ET

Sit Dawson Knox in Week 3 if you have a real alternative — 3.5 projected points lands 3.5 under the TE starter line.

Projection
3.5 pts
TE rank
#35
Matchup
vs LAC

Dawson Knox's fantasy role in Week 3

Dawson Knox goes into Week 3 of the 2026 season as a deep-league TE flyer for the BUF. He is rostered in 1% of leagues and actually started in 0% of them, and we rank him TE35 on our own weekly board at 3.5 projected points.

Roster rates are steady week over week, so his role looks settled rather than in flux.

No injury designation to work around right now, which keeps his projection honest.

Week 3 matchup breakdown

The matchup: vs LAC. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 1 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.

Against a typical starting TE baseline of 7 points, his 3.5-point projection is 3.5 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.

How to play it

Sit Dawson Knox in Week 3 if you have a real alternative — 3.5 projected points lands 3.5 under the TE starter line.

If you are deciding between him and another TE, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Dawson Knox (BUF TE), our TE35 this week for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season vs LAC, projecting 3.5 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Nothing in the projection defends him — 50% below positional par is a bench line for me. The vs LAC draw matters here — home snaps against LAC shape how often he's asked to do something. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Dawson Knox (BUF TE), our TE35 this week for Week 3 of the 2026 NFL season vs LAC, projecting 3.5 projected points with a mild Pepper Meter rating. Nothing in the projection defends him — 50% below positional par is a bench line for me. The vs LAC draw matters here — home snaps against LAC shape how often he's asked to do something. The Pepper Meter cools him to Mild, and that reading is doing its job.