Peppers & Picks logoPeppers & Picks

Week 2 · RB · MIN

Aaron Jones Sr. Week 2 fantasy outlook: role, matchup and start/sit call

Our RB25 for Week 2 — 10.4 projected points at CHI, rostered in 85% of leagues.

By Sally & Tina · Updated September 21, 2026 at 12:16 AM ET

Aaron Jones Sr. is a fair Week 2 play — our RB25 at 10.4 projected points, right around the RB starter line.

Projection
10.4 pts
RB rank
#25
Matchup
at CHI

Aaron Jones Sr.'s fantasy role in Week 2

Aaron Jones Sr. goes into Week 2 of the 2026 season as a matchup-dependent RB option for the MIN. He is rostered in 85% of leagues and actually started in 42% of them, and we rank him RB25 on our own weekly board at 10.4 projected points.

Roster rates are steady week over week, so his role looks settled rather than in flux.

No injury designation to work around right now, which keeps his projection honest.

Week 2 matchup breakdown

The matchup: at CHI. Our Pepper Meter heat rating for this spot is 2 out of 5, which is how we grade the combination of role, projection and opponent difficulty.

Against a typical starting RB baseline of 11 points, his 10.4-point projection is 0.6 points short. That gap is the whole start/sit argument in one number.

How to play it

Aaron Jones Sr. is a fair Week 2 play — our RB25 at 10.4 projected points, right around the RB starter line.

If you are deciding between him and another RB, compare projections first, then lean on the Pepper Meter heat rating as the tiebreaker.

Sally's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN RB), our RB25 this week for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season at CHI, projecting 10.4 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's still in 42% of lineups at 85% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. He grades 5% below the average weekly RB number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. CHI is the opponent, and that's the part of this I'm least worried about. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.

Tina's take

Peppers & Picks ranks Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN RB), our RB25 this week for Week 2 of the 2026 NFL season at CHI, projecting 10.4 projected points with a spicy Pepper Meter rating. He's still in 42% of lineups at 85% rostered, which is exactly the trap I'm trying to talk you out of. He grades 5% below the average weekly RB number, which is a floor problem more than a ceiling one. CHI is the opponent, and that's the part of this I'm least worried about. The Pepper Meter cools him to Spicy, and that reading is doing its job.